思考与写作ourworldindata.org
世界很糟,世界好多了,世界还能好得多
The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better
2022 — 2024,它一次次回到首页
黑点是上首页(≥ 50 分)的那次投稿,空心点是没冲上去的投稿,点越大分数越高。
导读
Our World in Data 的经典文章,提出看待世界的三个同时成立的事实:世界很糟糕、世界比过去好得多、世界还可以变得更好。文章用大量数据说明人类在贫困、健康、教育等方面的长期进步,并强调进步不是停止努力的理由,而是继续改善的动力。
为什么经久不衰:它提供了一种既不盲目乐观也不陷入绝望的思考框架,在坏消息主导舆论的时代反复引起共鸣,多年后仍值得重读。
HN 评论精选
推荐同主题的《事实》一书和罗斯林的 TED 演讲
如果你喜欢这篇文章,强烈推荐读汉斯·罗斯林的《事实》。他晚年致力于向公众普及世界的真实状况,书中有一系列理解事实的方法。他的 TED 演讲也是杰作。
vitorbaptistaa查看英文原文
If you enjoyed this post, I highly recommend reading Factfulness by Hans Rosling. He spent his later years trying to educate the public on the realities of the world. This book contains a series of tips on how to understand facts. His TED talks are masterpieces as well.
人类中心的进步叙事忽视了生态破坏和化石燃料的不可持续性
说世界变得更好太自私了。世界只属于人类吗?其他物种的处境都比以前更糟甚至灭绝了。而且这种进步不会持续——一切都建立在极端使用化石燃料之上,影响已经开始显现,未来几十年会更糟。就像一个从楼上坠落的人,在下落过程中说'生活从未如此刺激'。
birksherty查看英文原文
It's too selfish for humans to say world is better. Is the world only for humans? Does it belong to us only? Every other species is in terrible condition than before or they got extinction. And the better is not going to last. All the progress is because of extreme fossil fuel usage. The effect has started to show, to be honest it's going to get much worse in coming decades. It's like a person falling from a building says life was never so exiting while going down each floor, even just before hitting the ground.
自然界的寄生与进化之残酷提醒人们进步并非理所当然
我很难相信世界的根本问题是'文化'。经历新冠和一场弓形虫病后,我觉得人们需要重新认识自然与进化的残酷。弓形虫每年感染美国超过80万人,我们发现之前的模型错了,这种寄生虫会在人脑中形成包囊并改变行为。进化是人类必须用技术克服的最大敌人。
stuckinhell查看英文原文
I have a hard time believing the fundamental problem is the world is "culture". After Covid-19 and a personal battle with Toxoplasmosis, I think people need a reminder of the unforgiving brutality of nature and evolution. The Toxoplasomsis parasite infects over 800,000 persons each year in the United States. We are finding out our models were wrong, and this parasite can cause cysts and behaviorial modification(probably via hormones) in human brains. No one talks about this, and I only found out because this parasite was giving me polycystic ovary syndrome! It's all an absolute nitemare, and a great awakening about how these parasites violate our bodies and minds. I think Evolution is the biggest enemy that we as humans must overcome with technology.
把大问题拆解成小问题、以建设性态度逐个解决,是应对悲观的有效方式
我今年47岁,一生中见证的事物呈指数级改善,数都数不清。人们不理解指数,所以总被它惊到。面对大问题人们容易宿命论,但大问题可以拆成许多小问题,小问题只是需要做的工作而已。很多人解决很多小问题,很多问题就消失了。我是工程师,以解决问题为生,'能行'的态度对做成事情帮助很大。
jillesvangurp查看英文原文
I'm only 47 years old. I've lost count of the number of things that improved exponentially during my life time. More has happened in the last half century than in all of humanity before that in terms of scientific progress. Perhaps a different way to look at things is that while people are causing no end of trouble for each other, the planet they live on, etc. they also have a knack for just continually figuring out how to do things better and differently. People don't get exponentials so they get caught by surprise by them even when they shouldn't. People can be fatalistic when faced with big problems. But when faced with smaller problems, they just start solving them. And lots of big problems can be broken down into lots of small problems. A big problem may seem insurmountable. A small problem is just work that needs to be done. Lots of people working on lots of small problems, means a lot of those problems simply get solved and melt away. I don't have all the answers when it comes to world peace, clean energy, hunger, child mortality, sea level rises, etc. These are really big challenges. But I'm an engineer and solve problems for a living. A can-do attitude goes a long way to just getting stuff done. A wise lesson that I picked up in some communication training is to try to steer workplace discussions towards being constructive rather than being dismissive, argumentative, and negative. By simply talking about challenges rather than problems you can rephrase things such that people start thinking about how they can make things better rather than how hopelessly bad they are. They get excited instead of angry. Using a "yes and .." instead of a "yes, but .." is a very subtle way to say the same thing in a way that is constructive. In a workplace, prolonging a bad thing serves no purpose so getting people to talk about how to improve a thing is more productive than having them provide endless reasons why a thing cannot, should not, or must not be done. Get people to think about how they can do it better rather than talking each other out of doing constructive things. I can't fix everyone around me but I can fix how I voice my own criticism. That little lesson has served me well over the years. As a startup CTO I have to be constantly mindful about the epic amount of shit I cannot possibly deal with while still making sure things get better month to month. For any twenty problems, pick two to solve right now. Ignore the rest. I can't afford apathy or fatalism. Neither is constructive. But I can park one thing and focus on a feasible thing. Once I solve that, we can see about the other thing. My attitude to all the big problems in this world is the same. Yes they are big but there is progress and plenty of opportunities for more progress. Don't tell me how royally screwed we all are, tell me how things could be better and I might be able to do my little part to get us there.
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