工具与资源ncase.me
Loopy:用系统思考的工具
Loopy: a tool for thinking in systems
2017 — 2020,它一次次回到首页
黑点是上首页(≥ 50 分)的那次投稿,空心点是没冲上去的投稿,点越大分数越高。
导读
Loopy 是 Nicky Case 开发的免费网页工具,让你用画圈和箭头的方式绘制因果回路图,直观模拟系统内各因素的相互增强或抑制关系。它源自系统动力学中的因果回路图方法,适合用来快速探索和讲解复杂系统如何运转。
为什么经久不衰:它把抽象的系统思维变成人人可上手的可视化画板,多次登上首页说明这种直观建模方式持续吸引着想理解复杂系统的人。
HN 评论精选
指出 Loopy 背后的方法论是系统动力学中的因果回路图,并推荐更严谨的建模工具
LOOPY 用到的技术来自系统动力学,叫做因果回路图,是一种可视化探索系统关联的方法。若要严谨建模,可以用 Vensim、Stella Pro、Powersim 等桌面数学仿真工具,基于存量-流量隐喻进行建模。系统动力学协会网站有更多介绍。
simulate查看英文原文
The technique used in LOOPY comes from system dynamics and is called causal-loop diagramming. Causal loop diagramming is a way to visually explore connections. You can rigorously model systems using a stock-flow metaphor using desktop mathematical simulation tools like Vensim, Stella Pro, and Powersim. The system dynamics society has more information at: http://www.systemdynamics.org/what-is-s/
肯定创意但批评数学能力不足,建议支持非线性、时间尺度差异等更真实的系统特性
数学层面还需改进才有实用价值。正如它自己指出的,生态学示例实质上并不对应 Lotka-Volterra 模型。而且据我所见物种无法灭绝。很多系统关系是非线性的、分形的,时间尺度也不同步——希望能给箭头设置不同的'传播速度',用函数描述输入如何转化为输出,以及让食物来源消失时负担转移到其他来源等。
dkural查看英文原文
This needs more work on the math side to be helpful. As it points out itself, the ecological example does not (in substance) correspond to the Lotka Volterra model. Furthermore, there is no way for a species to go extinct from what I saw initially (perhaps there are options I'm missing?) A lot of system-relationships are non-linear, or fractal, with time-ranges that are out of sync. Would be great to be able to model that -- i.e. introduce different "speeds" on how fast arrows can "travel" on the line, and to introduce functions that describe how x input arrows results in y output arrows, etc. It'd be great to be able to model how when a food source (or any input disappears), the burden shifts to the other sources etc -- now the arrows just go equally, sources/sinks can't disappear etc.
建议政府用此类可视化工具向公众展示预算中各因素的关联与取舍
我常想,市政甚至州政府应该用这种可视化方式,向公众提供交互式预算工具。目的是展示政府的一切都通过税收收入和支出相互关联——在税收方向上存在非常艰难的取舍。
canada_dry查看英文原文
I've often thought that municipal or even state governments should make available an interactive budget tool for constituents using this kind of visualization. The purpose would be to show that everything the gov't does is connected through incoming taxes and outgoing expenditures - and there are very tough choices when it comes to the direction of taxes.
推荐更强大的同类工具 Machinations,并设想用于后端负载建模
有一个用于游戏系统设计的更高级版本,叫 Machinations,可以建模非常复杂的经济系统。离开游戏行业后我仍常想起这个工具,觉得它或许可用于建模后端负载,正等着机会试试。
aaanotherhnfolk查看英文原文
There's a much much more advanced version of this tool used for systems design in game design called Machinations. You can model really complex economies with it. Now that I've left the games industry I still think about this tool often and how it might be useful for modeling load on a backend. Kind of waiting for an opportunity to try it out. https://machinations.io/
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